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Hidden Opportunities in a Soaring Market
Have some funds to invest but feel there are no bargains left as stock market indices reach unprecedented highs? It’s time to turn your attention to stocks that have missed the rally and appear ripe for a rebound. Rivian Automotive and Nio are two such examples, with both seeing their shares plummet by 45% in 2024.
While the global demand for electric vehicles (EVs) is on the rise, the industry has encountered several obstacles, including reduced subsidies, high interest rates, and intensified competition from China. Companies like Rivian and Nio have faced additional challenges, which have collectively driven their stock prices down. The silver lining is that both manufacturers seem to be at a pivotal moment, with promising catalysts on the horizon that could propel their shares upward. Let’s delve into why now might be the opportune time to invest in these stocks.
Nio: A Challenger to Tesla
Neha Chamaria (Nio): Nio, a leading luxury EV manufacturer in China, holds a strategic advantage over U.S. automakers trying to penetrate the world’s largest EV market. However, a recent price war in the Chinese EV sector forced companies, including Nio, to slash prices and offer discounts to stay afloat.
Unfortunately, these developments coincided with Nio’s model upgrades to a new platform, amidst already low production and delivery rates. As a result, Nio’s margins plummeted, and its stock took a nosedive, dropping over 50% in the first half of 2024.
Despite these setbacks, Nio’s recent figures provide a beacon of optimism. With the upgrades complete, Nio’s deliveries surged by 91% sequentially to 57,373 units in the second quarter. During the same period, vehicle sales soared 81% sequentially to approximately $2.2 billion, vehicle margins increased from 9.2% to 12.2%, and net loss reduced slightly to around $694 million.
With expectations for stable deliveries and margins, Nio’s stock has more potential upside than downside. The company plans to deliver between 61,000-63,000 EVs in the third quarter and aims to boost its margin to 15% by year’s end.
Nio is also entering the mass EV market with its sub-brand, Onvo, and anticipates the launch of its first model, the L60 SUV, shortly. The L60 is set to rival Tesla’s popular Model Y in China, offering a lower price and additional features. Onvo’s debut could serve as a significant catalyst for Nio’s stock in the months ahead.
Howard Smith (Rivian): Many EV companies have faced challenges this year due to peak interest rates and heightened competition, leading to stunted sales growth for some and a complete halt for others. Consequently, Rivian’s shares have dropped by 45% in 2024.
However, Rivian is at a transformative juncture that might turn the sharp stock decline into a lucrative long-term opportunity for investors willing to embrace risk. Let’s explore what could improve in the near future.
Rivian has been advancing its EV technology with a second generation of its fully electric pickup truck and SUV. Yet, the R1T and R1S models mainly appeal to high-net-worth EV buyers, with second-quarter revenue indicating an average selling price of nearly $83,000 for the 13,800 vehicles delivered.
The company is moving toward offering a more affordable fully electric SUV. The R2 model is set to debut in early 2026 with a starting price of $45,000. Crucially for investors, Rivian is expected to have adequate capital to capitalize on R2’s revenue potential, thanks to a new partnership with Volkswagen that includes a significant capital infusion.
Volkswagen plans to invest $1 billion in Rivian through a convertible bond, with intentions to convert it into Rivian common stock eventually. The German automaker may invest an additional $4 billion to acquire more Rivian shares and establish a joint venture for EV technology development.
The joint venture is anticipated to form before the year’s end, potentially sparking investor interest in Rivian as it prepares to produce the R2 SUV. Now might be the time to consider adding shares before these catalysts take effect.
Is Rivian Automotive a Wise Investment Now?
Before deciding to invest $1,000 in Rivian Automotive, consider the following insights:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team has recently identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors currently, and Rivian Automotive did not make the list. The 10 selected stocks are expected to yield substantial returns in the upcoming years.
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