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Costco has given its shareholders a spectacular financial journey. Over the past year, the shares have surged by 60%, and looking back five years, they’ve skyrocketed by 208%. This impressive growth has outpaced the S&P 500’s returns during these periods. Wall Street’s enthusiasm for this membership-based wholesale retailer is clear. But what aspects of Costco make it so appealing to investors?
A Business Model That Shines
Investors are drawn to Costco’s business model, which leverages its scale to offer substantial savings on high-quality products to its members. This strategy, coupled with an exceptional customer experience, fosters loyalty among existing members and attracts new ones eager to benefit from the great deals. Beyond these fundamentals, Costco’s business includes smaller, yet highly appealing elements, such as the $1.50 soda and hot dog combo and a generous return policy.
Unveiling Costco’s Unique Dividend Strategy
A lesser-known facet of Costco’s allure is its distinctive approach to dividends. While the company’s dividend yield may appear modest at 0.5%, there is more beneath the surface. In addition to its regular quarterly dividend, currently at $1.16 (or $4.64 annually), Costco occasionally rewards shareholders with a special dividend. These special dividends are not recurring but are distributed at somewhat unpredictable times. For instance, the last special dividend of $15 was paid in one lump sum on January 12 of this year.
The “Special Sauce” in Costco’s Dividend
Costco’s special dividend is intriguing due to its recurring nature over the years, suggesting the potential for more in the future. Besides the $15 special dividend this year, Costco has issued special dividends of $7, $5, $7, and $10 in 2012, 2015, 2017, and 2020, respectively. These special dividends are often distributed when Costco’s net cash position (the total of cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities minus long-term debt) becomes substantial. At the time of its last special dividend announcement, Costco’s net cash was an impressive $12 billion, a stark contrast to many retailers that often maintain a net debt position.
As Costco’s net cash position stabilizes or grows, the company’s board of directors may once again consider a special dividend. While the timing and amount of the next special dividend remain uncertain, investors can be reasonably confident that another is likely in the future.
Promising Dividend Growth Potential
Regarding Costco’s regular quarterly dividend, investors can anticipate considerable growth. This is largely attributed to the company’s payout ratio (excluding the special dividend earlier this year), which stands at just 26%. Essentially, Costco distributes only about one-fourth of its earnings as dividends, leaving ample room for increases.
Costco’s robust revenue and earnings growth further bolster the potential for dividend expansion. In its most recent quarter, the company reported a 9.1% year-over-year increase in sales. Additionally, a recent hike in the annual membership fee is expected to contribute to sustaining this growth momentum in upcoming quarters.
With the backdrop of potential continued dividend growth and the prospect of occasional special dividends, Costco emerges as a solid long-term investment opportunity for those seeking a growing stream of dividend income.
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